In 2020, the site is on its way to becoming a mixed hardwood stand with strong oak and walnut components.
As shown in Table 1 at the link below, the site averages about 900 stems/acre oak (red and white combined) and 400 stems/acre of black walnut greater than 1 foot tall.
Table 1. Stems/acre of regeneration by species, size class and plot frequency in 2020
In addition to the target crop species of oak and black walnut, there are also significant numbers of ash and boxelder, and smaller amounts of a variety of other species. The naturally seeded hackberry and sugar maple is beneficial in that it will provide some diversity to the future stand. Although we did not pick any up in our plots, there are even a handful of naturally seeded white pine seedlings present.
Notes about ash, elm, and boxelder:
The objectives for including ash in the seeding mixture in early direct seedings were threefold:
- Help establish “crown closure" and begin shading out grass and weed competition as early as possible.
- Improve timber quality of high value hardwoods such as oak and walnut by providing side competition to nearby stems and forcing them to grow straighter, and with fewer low limbs.
- Due to general ease of establishment, serve as the tree crop in any portions of the stand where higher value species failed to become established. Note: There was no ash sown on the portion seeded in 2010. The portion sown in 2005 that included ash was before EAB was known in this area.
There is also a significant amount of boxelder and elm that seeded in naturally from adjacent trees. Similar to ash, some elm and boxelder during early years of establishment is beneficial to helping achieve earlier crown closure to shade out grass. However, at high levels and left uncontrolled they can have a negative impact by outgrowing and shading out more desirable tree species. Their level of competition to more desirable trees is monitored and controlled, as needed.
While establishment of trees has been good on most of the site, there is tremendous spatial variability in tree survival and growth in 2020
On some portions of the site, trees have already achieved crown closure and are healthy and growing rapidly. In fact, in 2020 some places would benefit from precommercial thinning work to reduce competition and speed growth of crop trees.
However, on other portions seedlings are growing slowly due to heavy grass competition. Growth and vigor should accelerate considerably after achieving crown closure over the next 5 to 10 years.
Potential causes of tree survival and growth variability in 2020
The tree survival and growth variability found on this site is common on direct seedings of former agricultural fields. Many factors may have contributed to the variability, including:
- Soils
- Topography
- Herbicide effectiveness
- Seed sowing rates
- Seed quality and genetic variability
We share our thoughts on these factors and the impacts they may have had on tree survival and growth below:
Soils
Subtle differences in soil factors such as compaction, structure, nutrient levels and moisture retention can impact tree survival and growth. Spatial variability in soils is commonly cited in agricultural sciences as a cause of different rates of productivity across a site. It is highly likely that it explains at least part of the variability seen in this case study.
Unfortunately, the NCRS soils map shows the same soil series over the entire project area, so it is not refined enough to ascertain subtle soil differences that might have impacts. It would therefore be valuable to do additional soil analysis work in the future on this and/or other former agricultural field direct seeding sites. Soils in areas with good tree growth and survival could be probed and analyzed, and then compared to soils in areas with poor results.
Topography
The NRCS soils map is not sensitive enough to show subtle differences in elevation, but it is a factor that can have noticeable impacts on soil temperatures and moisture retention and availability, which can impact tree growth. Topography has an impact on tree growth. Specifically, northerly and easterly aspects on even subtle slopes tend to be cooler and moister than places with westerly or southerly slopes, and therefore better mesic tree growth.
We produced a map with 1-foot contour lines, using our highest resolution Lidar elevation data under the hypothesis that very subtle depressions or hills could explain superior tree survival and growth. We did not find such a correlation. Figure 2 at the link below shows 1-meter Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Lidar imagery superimposed over a 2019 color infrared aerial photo of the case study fields and surrounding area. Orange shows highest elevation, then lower in order: yellow, green, light blue and dark blue for the lowest areas. If you look closely, you can see areas in the study fields where the trees are significantly taller than others. At the sensitivity level of the available Lidar, we see no pattern of subtle depressions or hills that appears to relate to these places.
NOTE: We do think it would be worthwhile in the future when even more sensitive Lidar is available to take another look at this.
Figure 2. 1 meter Digital Elevation Model imagery superimposed over a 2019 color IR airphoto
Herbicides
Herbicide effectiveness in controlling vegetative competition (especially grass) in early years of direct seedings can impact tree survival and growth. Application rates would have been within accepted tolerances, so any variability on this site would have been minor. Although probably not a major factor, slight differences in application rates and in herbicide effectiveness due to soil variations could explain some of the variability in tree growth and survival. However, in 2020 there is no way to determine if that was indeed the case on this site. Overall, foresters have observed over the years that effective control of grass competition during early years of direct seedings is critical to successful forest establishment.
Seed Sowing Rates
We don’t have detailed seeding records for this site that tell us the exact rates used. We can assume that the rate of seed applied over most of the site was close to recommended levels at that time, as documented in the “Silvicultural Prescription” section.
Perhaps the most helpful observation we can share on seeding rates is that to the extent practical, more seed is probably better than less. It should be noted that challenges in procuring adequate amounts of seed for direct seedings make it impractical to suggest a large increase in recommended seeding rates for most sites. However, a field trial on this site of much heavier than average acorn seeding was successful in establishing greater oak numbers with better than average growth (see Figure 7 and Figure 8).
We aren’t sure exactly what rate/acre of acorns was seeded on this small patch, only that one of the foresters overseeing the project recalls that an exceptionally high rate was sown at seeding time as a field trial. The condition of this patch is dense enough in 2020 that it would benefit from a pre-commercial thinning. Acorn availability and cost will limit how much practical application of very high sowing rates could be achieved on future seedings, but generally, more is better than less.
Seed Quality and Genetic Variability
Genetic variability and quality of seed is always a factor that impacts tree survival and growth. Some genetic seed variability is beneficial since it is an important factor in achieving the goal of establishing a genetically diverse forest. One great strength of direct seeding vs. planting is that it enables superior adaptation to subtle variations in site conditions. When planting a few hundred seedlings/acre at regularly spaced intervals, small variations in site conditions generally are not accounted for. In contrast, direct seeding thousands of seeds of several species over the entire site enables those species and specimens best suited to take over and thrive in a particular area, based on microsite conditions. Some genetic diversity is a given on direct seedings, when one considers the many trees needed to source the volume of seed required – it has to come from many trees.
We don’t have records on seed sources for this site that tell us details of exactly where the seed came from. However, we do know that procurement and handling procedures ensured that the seed used came from the either the same seed zone (or at most 50 miles to the south), and that it was viable.
One interesting observation on this site were some individual 15 plus-foot-tall red oak stems surrounded by much shorter oak and black walnut struggling in heavy grass and goldenrod competition. Figure 9 shows an example of this. Genetic variability may explain the random pattern of thriving oak stems.
Although we do not have information on acorn sizes seeded, the phenotypic factor of acorn size for oaks has been shown in studies to impact seeding survival and growth. Specifically, larger acorns tend to produce larger and more vigorous seedlings that compete better than do smaller acorns.
It is not always operationally feasible to identify and use genetically superior seed, but land managers can encourage seed collection from parent trees that exhibit superior growth and form characteristics and use larger than average acorns.
Herbaceous plants
For ground cover in 2020, we observed mostly high cover of sun-loving native weeds, including goldenrod (Solidago sp.) along with some grasses, asters, raspberries, clematis, and wild parsnip.